Election 2017 polls LIVE: Latest as Labour could take Conservative majority – news updates

2 Jun

2.55pm: Labour is ahead by 17 points in London, a new YouGov poll has found.

The party is polling at 50 per cent in the capital and is on course for its best London result since 1997.

The poll put Labour at 50 per cent with the Conservatives on 33 per cent.

Professor Philip Cowley, director of the Mile End Institute at Queen Mary University of London, says that if the poll proves accurate then the Conservatives will lose four seats.

The survey suggests that Zac Goldsmith will lose his bid to win back his seat in Richmond.

Mr Goldsmith, who ran against Sadiq Khan in the London mayoral race, quit the Conservatives in 2016 in protest at the Government’s decision to approve a third runway at Heathrow.

He stood as an independent candidate in the by-election but was defeated by the Lib Dem’s Sarah Olney. He is now running as a Conservative once again.

1.24pm: Theresa May has wrapped up her Q&A.

Taking questions from journalists in Middlesborough, the PM reiterated her “strong and stable” mantra and her claim that Jeremy Corbyn “has no plan for Brexit”.

Mrs May said that she told Donald Trump the importance of the Paris climate change agreement at the G7 summit last week, amid reports that the President plans to pull out of the treaty.

When asked about her vanishing poll lead, Mrs May said that the only poll that matters is the one next week.

1.18pm: Theresa May has said that Amber Rudd did “an absolutely excellent job” during last night’s debate, swerving questions on Boris Johnson’s earlier comments and whether or not she actually watched the programme.

The Foreign Secretary called the BBC audience “the most left-wing ever” earlier today, despite a BBC statement insisting that the crowd was selected to represent the political make-up of the UK.

1.11pm: Funding the NHS depends on having a strong economy in order to generate those funds, Mrs May has said.

“People should vote Conservative to make sure the economy doesn’t go down hill,” she added.

1.06pm: Mrs May says that this election is “not about the old tribal politics of the past” at a speech in Middlesborough – traditionally a Labour stronghold.

In a riff on Labour’s “for the many, not the few” slogan, the PM vowed to build a nation “not just for the privileged few, but for everyone”.

Mrs May was booed by the crowd for repeating her claim that “some people” would pursue the worst possible Brexit deal at the highest possible price.

12.50pm Theresa May is currently giving a stern speech on Brexit in Middlesbrough South after missing the BBC debate last night. 

The Prime Minister just said she has the the “determination and the plan” to take the UK out of the EU.  

Other party leaders mocked Theresa May for not showing up to last night’s TV debate where Home Secretary Amber Rudd took her place. 

12.00pm: Bookies have seen a flurry of bets on Boris Johnson to become the next Prime Minister after last night’s BBC election debate.

Betfair spokesperson Naomi Totten said: “Boris Johnson was backed to a low of 12/1 this morning, perhaps a sign that punters think May will be ousted as leader given her lacklustre campaign performance.”

More than £500,000 was matched during the programme, with Jeremy Corbyn’s odds of becoming Prime Minister hiting a low of 4/1. Theresa May’s odds drifted slightly to 1/4.

Yesterday evening, Boris refused to answer five times whether he would run for Conservative leader if Mrs May resigned following an election loss.

Speaking on LBC, he eventually admitted: “Of course I’m ruling it out.

“What we want at this election is a strong administration led by Theresa. And that’s very much what I hope the British people will deliver.”

11.52am: Labour has released excerpts of a Brexit speech that Jeremy Corbyn will give later today.

Mr Corbyn will argue that leaving the EU without a deal “would be the worst outcome for Britain”. Theresa May has said no deal is better than a bad deal. 

“The Conservatives’ reckless approach has left us isolated and marginalised, increasing the chances of Britain crashing out of the EU without a deal,” he will say.

The Labour leader will also accuse Boris Johnson of lying to the public during the EU referendum campaign.

“We know the three Tories in whose hands Theresa May has placed our national future – David Davis, Boris Johnson and Liam Fox. 

“Now you know I don’t do personal attacks, so let me just say that in Labour’s Brexit team, there is no one who has fibbed to the British people about spending an extra £350m a week on the NHS because of Brexit, and nobody who has promised to use Brexit to slash workers’ rights or slash tax for big corporations in a continental race to the bottom.”

11.32am: A new Ipsos MORI poll for STV predicts that the SNP will remain the largest party in Scotland.

Among those who say that they are certain to vote. 43 per cent backed Nicola Sturgeon’s party, with Labour and the Conservatives both winning 25 per cent support.

When asked how they would vote in a second independence referendum, 47 per cent said that they would vote to leave, with 53 per cent saying that they would vote to remain.

Keep up-to-date with the 

11.09am: Theresa May will win the election with an increased majority, top pollsters have predicted.

The UK’s six top polling companies –  ICM, Ipsos MORI, ComRes, Opinium, Survation and YouGov – have all told Bloomberg that Mrs May is better positioned to win than Jeremy Corbyn.

Five of the six predict a majority of at least 40 seats, with Iposos MORI’s chief executive Ben Page saying she could even achieve a landslide of up to 200.

“In this type of election, which has switched back to two-party politics, once you start polling in the 40s you can win big.,” Mr Page said.

Adam Drummond, senior research manager at Opinium, said that the Conservatives should win a majority of 50 to 70, even if their lead continues to diminish.

He cites the party’s continued popularity among older voters “who always go out to vote”.

11.04am: Jeremy Corbyn will lay out his approach to Brexit negotiations today, two days after Theresa May accused him of having no plan.

The Labour leader has already said that he would approach negotiations “in a very serious way, primarily to gain and continue this tariff-free access to the European market”.

Speaking on Sunday, he said: “But we’re not approaching the negotiations by threatening Europe, by threatening that if you don’t give us everything we want on day one, we’re going to walk away, slash corporation tax, give lots of giveaways to very big corporations in order to set up some kind of rival tax haven on the shores of Europe.

Theresa May will also talk Brexit today and will say: “The promise of Brexit is great, the opportunities before us are enormous.” 

9.56am: Mr Johnson says that it is a “good thing” that the polls are tightening leading up to the election.

He told the BBC: “If people feel it could go to the wire then as far as I’m concerned, that’s great.

“I want people to focus on it – I want people to come out and vote. This is the most important election for a long time because we have to get Brexit right.”

9.26am: Boris Johnson has said that last night’s BBC debate audience was the “most left-wing I’ve ever seen”.

He added: “You had Tim Farron and the Scottish Nationalists supporting Corbyn, and they would effectively be going into the negotiations in Brussels backing him up, but with a very different view of what they want the outcome of the Brexit talks to be.”

The BBC has clarified that the audience was selected by polling company ComRes to be “representative of the country demographically and politically”.

Mr Johnson also defended Theresa May’s decision not to take part in last night’s debate, saying it showed “wisdom”.

8.42am: YouGov’s latest seat estimates are that the Conservatives will win 311 seats, Labour 255, the SNP 51 and the Liberal Democrats 10.

7.30am: Theresa May’s absence in last night’s debate showed “contempt for the British public”, Labour’s Andy McDonald has said.

Speaking on BBC Breakfast, he claimed that voters are “very much warming” to Jeremy Corbyn’s message.

The shadow transport secretary also spoke about Labour’s plans to renationalise the railways. He said that rail franchises cost “hundreds of millions of pounds”, money which could help deliver “fares that are affordable”.

Today Mrs May will talk Brexit in the north east of England, traditionally a Labour stronghold.

The Prime Minister is expected to give more detail on her post-Brexit immigration plans, and will say: “If we get Brexit right, we can be a confident, self-governing country once again. A country that takes the decisions that matter to Britain here in Britain.”

Mr Corbyn will be out in the south east, and Tim Farron is in London ahead of his Andrew Neil interview tonight,

12.15am: Theresa May’s bid to increase her Commons majority has been plunged into chaos after a recent poll showed the Labour party have reduced the Conservatives’ lead to just three points with only a week to go until Britain goes to the polls.

The YouGov poll for the Times, conducted over past two days (May 30-31), puts the Tories on 42 per cent with the Labour party close behind on 39 per cent.

The Tories three point lead is the lowest of the campaign so far, while Labour’s 39 per cent is the party’s highest poll result since February 2014.

The pollster, who garnered responses from 1,875 British adults, put the Lib Dems down two points on seven per cent, with Ukip behind on four per cent.

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