Will the Conservatives win the general election 2017? Latest polls and odds

19 May

Martin Baxter of Electoral Calculus predicts that the Conservative Party’s massive lead will translate to 398 seats in Parliament.

Mr Baxter used a range of opinion polls from May 9 until May 17 to predict the election results.

Labour will likely land on 177 seats, Mr Baxter says, with the Liberal Democrats on six.

The Green Party are predicted to hold on to their single MP, with Ukip remaining seatless.

The SNP could win 46 seats and Plaid Cymru four.

Latest polls in full

CON 49 (nc)

LAB 34 (+8)

LD 7 (-7)

Greens 3 (+2)

UKIP 2 (-2)

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